Royals vs Red Sox Prediction - MLB Picks 8/10/23

Boston Red Sox (59-55) vs Kansas City Royals (37-79)

Game Info: Thursday, August 10, 2023 at 7:10 pm (Fenway Park)

James Paxton (6-3) (3.60) vs Alec Marsh (0-5) (6.75)

Betting Odds: Boston Red Sox -270 / Kansas City Royals +220 --- Over/Under: 10.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Kansas City Royals will play the Boston Red Sox in Game 4 of their series on Thursday night at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts. Boston won Games 1 and 3 in this series by a score of 6-2 and 4-3, while Kansas City won Game 2 by a score of 9-3. The Royals were the hottest team in baseball less than a week ago, but they have fallen back to reality over the last five Games. Can the Red Sox get the series win here?

Royals Preview

The Kansas City Royals are 37-79 this season and they have lost four of their last five Games. Prior to this series, Kansas City lost two out of three Games in Philadelphia. The Royals pitching staff has been a disaster this season and they have allowed 30 runs in their last five Games. The Kansas City pitching staff has a 5.18 ERA, a 1.40 WHIP, and a .263 opponent batting average this season. The Royals offense has scored 454 runs with a .239 batting average and a .298 on base percentage. Bobby Witt is batting .269 with 20 home runs and 68 RBI’s for the Royals. The projected starting pitcher for Kansas City is Alec Marsh, who is 0-5 with a 6.75 ERA and a 1.68 WHIP over 28.0 innings pitched this year. 

Red Sox Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 59-55 this season and they have lost five of their last seven Games. The Red Sox are second to last in the AL East, but they are still fighting in the AL Wild Card race. The Boston pitching staff has a 4.39 ERA, a 1.32 WHIP, and a .257 opponent batting average. The Red Sox offense has scored 556 runs with a .261 batting average and a .327 on base percentage this year. Masataka Yoshida is batting .304 with 12 home runs and 55 RBI’s for the Red Sox. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is James Paxton, who is 6-3 with a 3.60 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP over 75.0 innings pitched this season.

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Matchup/League Facts

The Kansas City Royals ranks 1st in the league for triples this season (30).

The Kansas City Royals ranks 4th in the league for steals this season (112).

The Boston Red Sox ranks 2nd in the league for doubles this season (248).

The Boston Red Sox are one of only 3 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and on-base percentage this season.

Pick

The Red Sox come into this matchup looking for the series win and they are very big favorites to get the job done. Kansas City continues to really struggle on the road this season, as they are 16-43 away from Kauffman Stadium. The Royals are starting Alec Marsh, who has allowed 12 earned runs over his last 13 innings of work. The Red Sox are starting James Paxton, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last five starts. Marsh has really struggled for the Royals in recent outings, but Paxton has been serviceable. I think Paxton will do enough to keep this Game low scoring, so I am taking the under. 

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